Let's get an update on the Memphis Safe Task Force, with some insight going back from it's start up through the end of January 2026. As these things are designed, there is a lot of volume at the beginning, then law enforcement activities become more targeted. Expect a steady volume of apprehensions on a weekly basis but not in the same quantity as back in September & October.

Trend comparison: late January vs early MSTF period Using the available benchmarks: • Early operational tempo (first 2 weeks) o Arrests: 850 violent/gang offenders in ~14 days → roughly 60+ high risk arrests/day. o Firearms: 175 seized → about 12–13 firearms/day.

• Oct 1–Nov 11 (≈42 days) o Arrests: 2,501 total → about 60 arrests/day (mix of violent and non violent). o Firearms: 576 seized → about 13–14 firearms/day. • Cumulative to Dec 15 (≈75 days from Oct 1) o Arrests: 4,000+ → still roughly 50–55 arrests/day on average. o Firearms: 629+ → the firearm seizure rate slows relative to the early weeks (because 576 were already seized by Nov 11).

Inference for late January vs Feb 3 (clearly labeled as inference):

• If the task force maintained a similar operational tempo into January, late January daily arrests likely sit in the 40–60/day band, with a higher share of targeted violent/gang arrests than in the early “all of the above” sweep phase. • Firearm seizures probably stabilize at a lower daily rate than October, because the “low hanging fruit” (obvious illegal carriers, open air markets) were hit early; later operations skew more toward case driven warrants and follow up searches. • By Feb 3, the digest you’re seeing is likely emphasizing quality of arrests (homicide suspects, gang sets, repeat shooters) over raw volume—consistent with the Marshals’ December framing that the operation is now about “sustained” reductions in violent crime, not just big early numbers.

So: late January vs Feb 3 is probably a shift from high volume suppression to more surgical, intelligence driven enforcement, with daily totals slightly lower but “per arrest impact” higher.